1.
D. Kahneman and A. Tversky, “On the Psychology of Prediction,”
Psychological Review 80 (1973): 237–51.
2.
Ibid.
3.
Ibid.
4.
D. Kahneman and A. Tversky, “Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness,” Cognitive Psychology 3 (1972): 430–54.
5.
Ibid.
6.
W. Edwards, “Conservatism in Human Information Processing,” in Formal Representation of Human Judgment, ed. B. Kleinmuntz (New York: Wiley, 1968), 17–52.
7.
Kahneman and Tversky, “Subjective Probability.”
8.
A. Tversky and D. Kahneman, “Belief in the Law of Small Numbers,” Psychological Bulletin 76 (1971): 105–10.
9.
Kahneman and Tversky, “On the Psychology of Prediction.”
10.
Ibid.
11.
Ibid.
12.
Ibid.
13.
A. Tversky and D. Kahneman, “Availability: A Heuristic for Judging Frequency and Probability,” Cognitive Psychology 5 (1973): 207–32.
14.
Ibid.
15.
R. C. Galbraith and B. J. Underwood, “Perceived Frequency of Concrete and Abstract Words,” Memory & Cognition 1 (1973): 56–60.
16.
Tversky and Kahneman, “Availability.”
17.
L. J. Chapman and J. P. Chapman, “Genesis of Popular but Erroneous Psychodiagnostic Observations,” Journal of Abnormal Psychology 73 (1967): 193–204; L. J. Chapman and J. P. Chapman, “Illusory Correlation as an Obstacle to the Use of Valid Psychodiagnostic Signs,” Journal of Abnormal Psychology 74 (1969): 271–80.
18.
P. Slovic and S. Lichtenstein, “Comparison of Bayesian and Regression Approaches to the Study of Information Processing in Judgment,” Organizational Behavior & Human Performance 6 (1971): 649–744.
19.
M. Bar-Hillel, “On the Subjective Probability of Compound Events,” Organizational Behavior & Human Performance 9 (1973): 396–406.
20.
J. Cohen, E. I. Chesnick, and D. Haran, “A Confirmation of the Inertial-? Effect in Sequential Choice and Decision,” British Journal of Psychology 63 (1972): 41–46.
21.
M. Alpe [spa
Acta Psychologica 35 (1971): 478–94; R. L. Winkler, “The Assessment of Prior Distributions in Bayesian Analysis,” Journal of the American Statistical Association 62 (1967): 776–800.
22.
Kahneman and Tversky, “Subjective Probability”; Tversky and Kahneman, “Availability.”
23.
Kahneman and Tversky, “On the Psychology of Prediction”; Tversky and Kahneman, “Belief in the Law of Small Numbers.”
24.
L. J. Savage, The Foundations of Statistics (New York: Wiley, 1954).
25.
Ibid.; B. de Finetti, “Probability: Interpretations,” in International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences, ed. D. E. Sills, vol. 12 (New York: Macmillan, 1968), 496–505.
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